Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 13:00 • Ashton Gate Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 2.11) 1.68 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.4% 21.1% 30.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Watford U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City U21 0 2.4% 3.9% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
1 4.9% 8.2% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.1% 8.5% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.5% 5.9% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.8% 3.0% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBristol City U21Watford U21
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack25%85%
Defense55%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 117 | 3.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bristol City U21 Watford U21
HATHAT
Played10112111920
Wins50%18%33%55%33%45%
Draws20%9%14%27%22%25%
Loses30%73%52%18%44%30%

Form: Bristol City U21: LLWDLLLLWWLDLWDWLLLWW • Watford U21: DDDWLWLLWDLWWLWWWLWD

League goals

Metric Bristol City U21 Watford U21
HATHAT
GF total191130301848
GF avg1.91.01.42.72.02.4
GA total142539192140
GA avg1.42.31.91.72.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBristol City U21Watford U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%86%80%85%
1.543%57%65%55%
2.514%24%50%30%
3.55%14%20%20%
4.50%5%20%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBristol City U21Watford U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score044224

Penalties

MetricBristol City U21Watford U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBristol City U21Watford U21
Wins23
Draws13
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-36-02-5
Biggest losses1-45-00-54-0
Goals For4365
Goals Against4555

Model comparison

MetricBristol City U21Watford U21
Form38%63%
Att23%77%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals46%54%
Total44.3%55.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Watford U21 and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Bet365
Draw4.84 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.30 @ 188Bet
No3.80 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.28 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bristol City U21 = 2.07 (league 2.11), Watford U21 = 1.68 (league 1.67)

Watford U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City U21 0 2.4% 3.9% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
1 4.9% 8.2% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.1% 8.5% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.5% 5.9% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.8% 3.0% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.4% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 30.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1