Fri, Sep 5 2025 • 15:30 • Kallio TN
Match Finished
2 - 3
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.72) 2.51 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.0% 18.9% 48.8%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.5%
2 - 2
6.9%
1 - 3
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
JäPS
0 1 2 3 4 5
KäPa 0 1.3% 3.3% 4.1% 3.4% 2.2% 1.1%
1 2.4% 6.0% 7.5% 6.3% 4.0% 2.0%
2 2.2% 5.5% 6.9% 5.8% 3.6% 1.8%
3 1.3% 3.3% 4.2% 3.5% 2.2% 1.1%
4 0.6% 1.5% 1.9% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKäPaJäPS
Played55
Form40%73%
Attack47%47%
Defense40%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KäPa JäPS
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins20%9%14%36%20%29%
Draws40%27%33%45%30%38%
Loses40%64%52%18%50%33%

Form: KäPa: LLDLLWLLDLLLWDLDDLDWD • JäPS: WLLDDLDLDWDLWDLLWWWDD

League goals

Metric KäPa JäPS
HATHAT
GF total151732171633
GF avg1.51.51.51.51.61.6
GA total243155202141
GA avg2.42.82.61.82.12.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKäPaJäPS
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%95%76%76%
1.548%71%48%48%
2.524%52%14%33%
3.55%29%10%29%
4.50%14%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKäPaJäPS
HATHAT
Clean sheets011325
Failed to score325235

Penalties

MetricKäPaJäPS
Scored (total | %)4 | 80.00%1 | 50.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 20.00%1 | 50.00%
Total52

Streaks

MetricKäPaJäPS
Wins13
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-12-00-3
Biggest losses0-54-00-64-1
Goals For4346
Goals Against5564

Model comparison

MetricKäPaJäPS
Form35%65%
Att50%50%
Def10%90%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total37.5%62.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or JäPS

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.21 @ 188Bet
Draw3.95 @ Pinnacle
Away3.08 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.41 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.38 @ Unibet
No3.25 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KäPa = 1.83 (league 1.72), JäPS = 2.51 (league 1.53)

JäPS
0 1 2 3 4 5
KäPa 0 1.3% 3.3% 4.1% 3.4% 2.2% 1.1%
1 2.4% 6.0% 7.5% 6.3% 4.0% 2.0%
2 2.2% 5.5% 6.9% 5.8% 3.6% 1.8%
3 1.3% 3.3% 4.2% 3.5% 2.2% 1.1%
4 0.6% 1.5% 1.9% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.0% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 48.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1