Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 14:30 • Salon Urheilupuisto Stadion
Match Finished
1 - 4
Expected Goals
0.29 (league 1.71) 1.27 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.5% 29.6% 61.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
26.7%
0 - 0
21.1%
0 - 2
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lahti
0 1 2 3 4 5
SalPa 0 21.1% 26.7% 16.9% 7.1% 2.3% 0.6%
1 6.2% 7.8% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
2 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSalPaLahti
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack29%47%
Defense47%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SalPa Lahti
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins9%8%9%75%45%61%
Draws27%0%13%25%27%26%
Loses64%92%78%0%27%13%

Form: SalPa: LLLDLLLDDLLLLWLLLLLLLLW • Lahti: DWWLWDWWWWWWWWDDLWDWDLW

League goals

Metric SalPa Lahti
HATHAT
GF total61218271643
GF avg0.51.00.82.31.51.9
GA total143246151126
GA avg1.32.72.01.31.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSalPaLahti
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%87%91%65%
1.513%70%70%39%
2.59%35%17%9%
3.50%9%4%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSalPaLahti
HATHAT
Clean sheets303358
Failed to score5510022

Penalties

MetricSalPaLahti
Scored (total | %)2 | 66.67%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 33.33%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricSalPaLahti
Wins18
Draws22
Losses81

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-35-30-3
Biggest losses0-34-0—3-1
Goals For1353
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricSalPaLahti
Form27%73%
Att38%62%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h0%100%
Goals14%86%
Total28.0%72.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lahti

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.00 @ 1xBet
Draw5.60 @ 188Bet
Away1.35 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No2.17 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): SalPa = 0.29 (league 1.71), Lahti = 1.27 (league 1.54)

Lahti
0 1 2 3 4 5
SalPa 0 21.1% 26.7% 16.9% 7.1% 2.3% 0.6%
1 6.2% 7.8% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
2 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 61.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1