Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 15:30 • Kallio TN
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.72) 2.45 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.9% 19.1% 51.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.2%
2 - 2
6.8%
1 - 3
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
SJK Akatemia
0 1 2 3 4 5
KäPa 0 1.6% 4.0% 5.0% 4.0% 2.5% 1.2%
1 2.7% 6.7% 8.2% 6.7% 4.1% 2.0%
2 2.3% 5.5% 6.8% 5.5% 3.4% 1.7%
3 1.2% 3.0% 3.7% 3.1% 1.9% 0.9%
4 0.5% 1.3% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKäPaSJK Akatemia
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack53%47%
Defense47%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KäPa SJK Akatemia
HATHAT
Played111223111122
Wins18%8%13%45%18%32%
Draws36%33%35%18%18%18%
Loses45%58%52%36%64%50%

Form: KäPa: LLDLLWLLDLLLWDLDDLDWDLD • SJK Akatemia: LWLDLLDDWLWLLLLWWLWLWD

League goals

Metric KäPa SJK Akatemia
HATHAT
GF total171835231639
GF avg1.51.51.52.11.51.8
GA total273259182139
GA avg2.52.72.61.61.91.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKäPaSJK Akatemia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%96%82%86%
1.548%70%50%55%
2.522%52%32%32%
3.54%26%9%5%
4.50%13%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKäPaSJK Akatemia
HATHAT
Clean sheets011123
Failed to score325224

Penalties

MetricKäPaSJK Akatemia
Scored (total | %)5 | 83.33%2 | 50.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 16.67%2 | 50.00%
Total64

Streaks

MetricKäPaSJK Akatemia
Wins12
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-14-10-3
Biggest losses0-54-00-33-1
Goals For4353
Goals Against5543

Model comparison

MetricKäPaSJK Akatemia
Form46%54%
Att53%47%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h0%100%
Goals22%78%
Total42.6%57.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or SJK Akatemia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.41 @ Pinnacle
Away3.25 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.80 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.32 @ Pinnacle
No3.70 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): KäPa = 1.65 (league 1.72), SJK Akatemia = 2.45 (league 1.53)

SJK Akatemia
0 1 2 3 4 5
KäPa 0 1.6% 4.0% 5.0% 4.0% 2.5% 1.2%
1 2.7% 6.7% 8.2% 6.7% 4.1% 2.0%
2 2.3% 5.5% 6.8% 5.5% 3.4% 1.7%
3 1.2% 3.0% 3.7% 3.1% 1.9% 0.9%
4 0.5% 1.3% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.9% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 51.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1