Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:00 • Salon urheilupuisto
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.73) 2.53 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.1% 14.2% 74.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
13.7%
0 - 3
11.5%
0 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Turku PS
0 1 2 3 4 5
SalPa 0 4.3% 10.8% 13.7% 11.5% 7.3% 3.7%
1 2.7% 6.8% 8.5% 7.2% 4.5% 2.3%
2 0.8% 2.1% 2.7% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSalPaTurku PS
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack60%100%
Defense0%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SalPa Turku PS
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins8%8%8%69%58%64%
Draws25%0%12%8%25%16%
Loses67%92%80%23%17%20%

Form: SalPa: LLLDLLLDDLLLLWLLLLLLLLWLL • Turku PS: WWWWLDWWWWWWLWDWWLLWDWWDL

League goals

Metric SalPa Turku PS
HATHAT
GF total71219323163
GF avg0.60.90.82.52.62.5
GA total183351192241
GA avg1.52.52.01.51.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSalPaTurku PS
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%88%96%84%
1.512%68%80%56%
2.58%36%44%20%
3.50%12%24%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSalPaTurku PS
HATHAT
Clean sheets303224
Failed to score5611101

Penalties

MetricSalPaTurku PS
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%12 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total212

Streaks

MetricSalPaTurku PS
Wins16
Draws21
Losses82

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-34-00-6
Biggest losses1-44-01-34-2
Goals For1346
Goals Against4434

Model comparison

MetricSalPaTurku PS
Form27%73%
Att35%65%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total28.2%71.8%

Advice: Winner : Turku PS

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home11.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw8.01 @ Pinnacle
Away1.22 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.06 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.30 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SalPa = 0.63 (league 1.73), Turku PS = 2.53 (league 1.54)

Turku PS
0 1 2 3 4 5
SalPa 0 4.3% 10.8% 13.7% 11.5% 7.3% 3.7%
1 2.7% 6.8% 8.5% 7.2% 4.5% 2.3%
2 0.8% 2.1% 2.7% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.1% · Draw 14.2% · Away win 74.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1