Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 12:00 • Veritas Stadion
Match Finished
3 - 3
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.73) 1.65 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.3% 23.7% 41.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
8.9%
2 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Lahti
0 1 2 3 4 5
Turku PS 0 4.5% 7.5% 6.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
1 6.5% 10.8% 8.9% 4.9% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.7% 7.8% 6.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.3% 3.8% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTurku PSLahti
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack62%77%
Defense62%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Turku PS Lahti
HATHAT
Played131326141226
Wins69%54%62%79%50%65%
Draws8%23%15%21%25%23%
Loses23%23%23%0%25%12%

Form: Turku PS: WWWWLDWWWWWWLWDWWLLWDWWDLL • Lahti: DWWLWDWWWWWWWWDDLWDWDLWWWW

League goals

Metric Turku PS Lahti
HATHAT
GF total323163312051
GF avg2.52.42.42.21.72.0
GA total192342151227
GA avg1.51.81.61.11.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTurku PSLahti
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%85%92%62%
1.577%54%69%35%
2.542%19%23%8%
3.523%4%8%0%
4.54%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTurku PSLahti
HATHAT
Clean sheets2245510
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricTurku PSLahti
Scored (total | %)12 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total123

Streaks

MetricTurku PSLahti
Wins68
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-63-01-4
Biggest losses1-34-2—3-1
Goals For4654
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricTurku PSLahti
Form37%63%
Att44%56%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total43.8%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lahti

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.95 @ Pinnacle
Away2.28 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Pinnacle
No2.61 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Turku PS = 1.45 (league 1.73), Lahti = 1.65 (league 1.54)

Lahti
0 1 2 3 4 5
Turku PS 0 4.5% 7.5% 6.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
1 6.5% 10.8% 8.9% 4.9% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.7% 7.8% 6.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.3% 3.8% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.3% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 41.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1