Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 11:00 •
Bolt Arena
Expected Goals
4.08 (league 2.14)
0.64 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
best score tips
4 - 0
10.3%
3 - 0
10.1%
5 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Åland United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| HJK | 0 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.1% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.3% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.4% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | HJK | Åland United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 80% |
| Attack | 65% | 61% |
| Defense | 87% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
82%
FT probability
3.5+
59%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | HJK | Åland United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 100% | 78% | 88% | 50% | 63% | 56% |
| Draws | 0% | 11% | 6% | 38% | 0% | 19% |
| Loses | 0% | 11% | 6% | 13% | 38% | 25% |
Form: HJK: WDWWWWWWWWWWWWLWW • Åland United: WDDWLWDLLWWWWWWL
League goals
| Metric | HJK | Åland United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 30 | 29 | 59 | 14 | 17 | 31 |
| GF avg | 3.8 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 28 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | HJK | Åland United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 41% | 94% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 82% | 6% | 50% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 65% | 0% | 31% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 47% | 0% | 13% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 29% | 0% | 6% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | HJK | Åland United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | HJK | Åland United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | HJK | Åland United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 9-1 | 0-6 | 5-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 2-5 | 9-1 |
| Goals For | 9 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 |
Model comparison
| Metric | HJK | Åland United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 52% | 48% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 89% | 11% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 76% | 24% |
| Total | 68.0% | 32.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : HJK and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): HJK = 4.08 (league 2.14), Åland United = 0.64 (league 1.65)
| Åland United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| HJK | 0 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.1% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.3% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.4% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.8% · Draw 5.2% · Away win 2.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1