Tue, Oct 7 2025 • 15:30 •
Wiklöf Holding Arena
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 2.14)
1.60 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.0% | 20.0% | 26.5% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 1
7.6%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| HPS W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Åland United | 0 | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Åland United | HPS W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 45% | 45% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
80%
FT probability
3.5+
57%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Åland United | HPS W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 50% | 55% | 52% | 73% | 30% | 52% |
| Draws | 40% | 0% | 19% | 9% | 10% | 10% |
| Loses | 10% | 45% | 29% | 18% | 60% | 38% |
Form: Åland United: WDDWLWDLLWWWWWWLLWWLD • HPS W: LWWLLWDWWWLWWLLWLWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Åland United | HPS W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 22 | 40 | 31 | 22 | 53 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 12 | 26 | 38 | 12 | 27 | 39 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Åland United | HPS W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 95% | 67% | 86% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 43% | 71% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 19% | 38% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 14% | 24% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 14% | 24% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Åland United | HPS W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Åland United | HPS W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Åland United | HPS W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-4 | 5-0 | 1-7 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 9-1 | 1-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 9 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Åland United | HPS W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 48.3% | 51.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or HPS W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Åland United = 2.27 (league 2.14), HPS W = 1.60 (league 1.65)
| HPS W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Åland United | 0 | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.0% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 26.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1