Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 15:30 •
Briotech Arena
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 2.14)
2.14 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.7% | 17.7% | 71.4% |
best score tips
0 - 2
15.1%
0 - 1
14.1%
0 - 3
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| HJK | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| HPS W | 0 | 6.6% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | HPS W | HJK |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 80% |
| Attack | 62% | 90% |
| Defense | 33% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 19 | 3.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
6.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
82%
FT probability
3.5+
58%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | HPS W | HJK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 78% | 30% | 53% | 100% | 78% | 89% |
| Draws | 0% | 10% | 5% | 0% | 11% | 5% |
| Loses | 22% | 60% | 42% | 0% | 11% | 5% |
Form: HPS W: LWWLLWDWWWLWWLLWLWL • HJK: WDWWWWWWWWWWWWLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | HPS W | HJK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 22 | 50 | 38 | 29 | 67 |
| GF avg | 3.1 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 3.5 |
| GA total | 10 | 27 | 37 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | HPS W | HJK | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 79% | 89% | 42% |
| 1.5 | 74% | 53% | 84% | 5% |
| 2.5 | 42% | 37% | 63% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 26% | 16% | 47% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 26% | 11% | 32% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | HPS W | HJK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | HPS W | HJK |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | HPS W | HJK |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 12 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-7 | 9-1 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-1 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | HPS W | HJK |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 24% | 76% |
| Total | 27.5% | 72.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or HJK and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): HPS W = 0.58 (league 2.14), HJK = 2.14 (league 1.65)
| HJK | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| HPS W | 0 | 6.6% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.7% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 71.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1