Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 13:00 •
Väre Areena
Expected Goals
3.25 (league 2.14)
1.15 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8% | 12.3% | 9.6% |
best score tips
3 - 1
8.1%
2 - 1
7.5%
3 - 0
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Åland United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| KuPS W | 0 | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.0% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | KuPS W | Åland United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 67% |
| Defense | 73% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 21 | 4.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | KuPS W | Åland United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 80% | 60% | 70% | 56% | 60% | 58% |
| Draws | 10% | 10% | 10% | 33% | 0% | 16% |
| Loses | 10% | 30% | 20% | 11% | 40% | 26% |
Form: KuPS W: LWWWWDDLLWWLWWWWWWWW • Åland United: WDDWLWDLLWWWWWWLLWW
League goals
| Metric | KuPS W | Åland United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 18 | 47 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
| GF avg | 2.9 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 9 | 8 | 17 | 10 | 24 | 34 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | KuPS W | Åland United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 55% | 95% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 25% | 53% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 35% | 5% | 32% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 11% | 16% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 0% | 5% | 16% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | KuPS W | Åland United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | KuPS W | Åland United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | KuPS W | Åland United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 0-4 | 5-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-1 | 2-5 | 9-1 |
| Goals For | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
Model comparison
| Metric | KuPS W | Åland United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 68% | 32% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 66.5% | 33.7% |
Advice: Combo Winner : KuPS W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): KuPS W = 3.25 (league 2.14), Åland United = 1.15 (league 1.65)
| Åland United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| KuPS W | 0 | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.0% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.8% · Draw 12.3% · Away win 9.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1