Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 15:00 •
Wiklöf Holding Arena
Expected Goals
0.42 (league 2.14)
2.01 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.7% | 18.0% | 73.6% |
best score tips
0 - 2
17.8%
0 - 1
17.7%
0 - 3
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| HJK | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Åland United | 0 | 8.8% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Åland United | HJK |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 87% |
| Attack | 43% | 86% |
| Defense | 38% | 90% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 18 | 3.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Åland United | HJK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 56% | 55% | 55% | 100% | 70% | 86% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 15% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
| Loses | 11% | 45% | 30% | 0% | 10% | 5% |
Form: Åland United: WDDWLWDLLWWWWWWLLWWL • HJK: WDWWWWWWWWWWWWLWWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Åland United | HJK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 22 | 38 | 41 | 30 | 71 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 3.4 |
| GA total | 10 | 26 | 36 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Åland United | HJK | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 95% | 65% | 90% | 43% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 40% | 81% | 5% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 20% | 62% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 15% | 43% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 15% | 29% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Åland United | HJK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Åland United | HJK |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Åland United | HJK |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-4 | 9-1 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 9-1 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Åland United | HJK |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 32% | 68% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 13% | 87% |
| Poisson Distribution | 18% | 82% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 17% | 83% |
| Total | 23.7% | 76.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or HJK
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Åland United = 0.42 (league 2.14), HJK = 2.01 (league 1.65)
| HJK | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Åland United | 0 | 8.8% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.7% · Draw 18.0% · Away win 73.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1