Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 11:00 •
Briotech Arena
Expected Goals
3.14 (league 2.14)
1.34 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.2% | 14.0% | 12.7% |
best score tips
3 - 1
7.8%
2 - 1
7.5%
4 - 1
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Åland United W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| HPS W | 0 | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | HPS W | Åland United W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 33% | 67% |
| Defense | 48% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
84%
FT probability
3.5+
60%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | HPS W | Åland United W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 73% | 33% | 52% | 58% | 55% | 57% |
| Draws | 9% | 8% | 9% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 18% | 58% | 39% | 8% | 45% | 26% |
Form: HPS W: LWWLLWDWWWLWWLLWLWLDWLW • Åland United W: WDDWLWDLLWWWWWWLLWWLDWW
League goals
| Metric | HPS W | Åland United W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 31 | 26 | 57 | 27 | 22 | 49 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 12 | 33 | 45 | 15 | 26 | 41 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | HPS W | Åland United W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 78% | 96% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 74% | 48% | 57% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 35% | 35% | 35% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 17% | 13% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 22% | 13% | 9% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | HPS W | Åland United W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | HPS W | Åland United W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | HPS W | Åland United W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-7 | 6-2 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 6-2 | 2-5 | 9-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
Model comparison
| Metric | HPS W | Åland United W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 39% | 61% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 44.7% | 55.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Åland United W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): HPS W = 3.14 (league 2.14), Åland United W = 1.34 (league 1.65)
| Åland United W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| HPS W | 0 | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.2% · Draw 14.0% · Away win 12.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1