Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 18:00 • St. Mary's Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.19 (league 1.88) 3.52 (league 1.71)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.9% 15.0% 33.7%
best score tips
3 - 3
4.8%
2 - 3
4.5%
3 - 4
4.2%
Score & goals probability table
Burnley U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton U21 0 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6%
1 0.4% 1.4% 2.4% 2.8% 2.5% 1.8%
2 0.6% 2.2% 3.9% 4.5% 4.0% 2.8%
3 0.7% 2.3% 4.1% 4.8% 4.2% 3.0%
4 0.5% 1.9% 3.3% 3.8% 3.4% 2.4%
5 0.3% 1.2% 2.1% 2.4% 2.1% 1.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthampton U21Burnley U21
Played33
Form78%33%
Attack41%29%
Defense71%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 2.35 | 1.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.76 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

63%
FT probability

BTTS

98%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southampton U21 Burnley U21
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%50%67%0%100%33%
Draws0%50%33%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%100%0%67%

Form: Southampton U21: WWD • Burnley U21: LWL

League goals

Metric Southampton U21 Burnley U21
HATHAT
GF total347235
GF avg3.02.02.31.03.01.7
GA total235426
GA avg2.01.51.72.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthampton U21Burnley U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%67%33%100%
2.533%0%33%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthampton U21Burnley U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricSouthampton U21Burnley U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSouthampton U21Burnley U21
Wins21
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-22-3
Biggest losses1-2
Goals For3213
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricSouthampton U21Burnley U21
Form70%30%
Att58%42%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total59.3%40.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Southampton U21 or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ Betano
Draw5.11 @ Pinnacle
Away6.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.27 @ Betano
Under 2.53.60 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Superbet
No2.77 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southampton U21 = 3.19 (league 1.88), Burnley U21 = 3.52 (league 1.71)

Burnley U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton U21 0 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6%
1 0.4% 1.4% 2.4% 2.8% 2.5% 1.8%
2 0.6% 2.2% 3.9% 4.5% 4.0% 2.8%
3 0.7% 2.3% 4.1% 4.8% 4.2% 3.0%
4 0.5% 1.9% 3.3% 3.8% 3.4% 2.4%
5 0.3% 1.2% 2.1% 2.4% 2.1% 1.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.9% · Draw 15.0% · Away win 33.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1