Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 13:00 • Finch Farm Training Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.90) 3.56 (league 1.69)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.8% 10.0% 68.0%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.9%
0 - 3
7.5%
1 - 4
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Aston Villa U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Everton U21 0 1.0% 3.5% 6.3% 7.5% 6.7% 4.7%
1 1.0% 3.7% 6.6% 7.9% 7.0% 5.0%
2 0.5% 2.0% 3.5% 4.1% 3.7% 2.6%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 0.9%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEverton U21Aston Villa U21
Played33
Form33%33%
Attack29%24%
Defense65%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.74 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 26 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Everton U21 Aston Villa U21
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins50%0%33%0%100%33%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%100%67%100%0%67%

Form: Everton U21: WLL • Aston Villa U21: LWL

League goals

Metric Everton U21 Aston Villa U21
HATHAT
GF total415134
GF avg2.01.01.70.53.01.3
GA total426516
GA avg2.02.02.02.51.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEverton U21Aston Villa U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%67%100%
1.533%67%33%67%
2.533%33%33%33%
3.50%33%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEverton U21Aston Villa U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricEverton U21Aston Villa U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricEverton U21Aston Villa U21
Wins11
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0——1-3
Biggest losses3-42-10-3—
Goals For3113
Goals Against4231

Model comparison

MetricEverton U21Aston Villa U21
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aston Villa U21

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.33 @ William Hill
Away2.70 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.41 @ Pinnacle
No3.00 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Everton U21 = 1.05 (league 1.90), Aston Villa U21 = 3.56 (league 1.69)

Aston Villa U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Everton U21 0 1.0% 3.5% 6.3% 7.5% 6.7% 4.7%
1 1.0% 3.7% 6.6% 7.9% 7.0% 5.0%
2 0.5% 2.0% 3.5% 4.1% 3.7% 2.6%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 0.9%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.8% · Draw 10.0% · Away win 68.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1