Expected Goals
8.50 (league 1.88) 0.53 (league 1.71)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.8% 0.2% 0.0%
best score tips
5 - 0
4.4%
4 - 0
2.6%
5 - 1
2.3%
Score & goals probability table
Derby County U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton U21 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrighton U21Derby County U21
Played33
Form67%0%
Attack42%16%
Defense95%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 2.73 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.39 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

64%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brighton U21 Derby County U21
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%50%67%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%33%100%100%100%

Form: Brighton U21: WWL • Derby County U21: LLL

League goals

Metric Brighton U21 Derby County U21
HATHAT
GF total448033
GF avg4.02.02.70.03.01.0
GA total011549
GA avg0.00.50.32.54.03.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrighton U21Derby County U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%33%100%
1.567%0%33%100%
2.567%0%33%67%
3.567%0%0%33%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrighton U21Derby County U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricBrighton U21Derby County U21
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBrighton U21Derby County U21
Wins20
Draws00
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-4
Biggest losses1-00-34-3
Goals For4403
Goals Against0134

Model comparison

MetricBrighton U21Derby County U21
Form100%0%
Att73%27%
Def90%10%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h64%36%
Goals54%46%
Total70.3%29.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Brighton U21 and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ Bet365
Draw5.59 @ Pinnacle
Away6.51 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Pinnacle
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Brighton U21 = 8.50 (league 1.88), Derby County U21 = 0.53 (league 1.71)

Derby County U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton U21 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.8% · Draw 0.2% · Away win 0.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1