Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.88) 2.93 (league 1.71)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.6% 13.9% 67.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.4%
1 - 3
8.2%
0 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derby County U21 0 1.8% 5.4% 7.9% 7.7% 5.7% 3.3%
1 2.0% 5.7% 8.4% 8.2% 6.0% 3.5%
2 1.0% 3.0% 4.5% 4.4% 3.2% 1.9%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDerby County U21Arsenal U21
Played44
Form0%58%
Attack22%44%
Defense33%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 18 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 37 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Derby County U21 Arsenal U21
HATHAT
Played224314
Wins0%0%0%67%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%25%
Loses100%100%100%33%0%25%

Form: Derby County U21: LLLL • Arsenal U21: LDWW

League goals

Metric Derby County U21 Arsenal U21
HATHAT
GF total044628
GF avg0.02.01.02.02.02.0
GA total5712527
GA avg2.53.53.01.72.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDerby County U21Arsenal U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%100%75%
1.525%100%75%75%
2.525%75%25%25%
3.50%25%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDerby County U21Arsenal U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score202000

Penalties

MetricDerby County U21Arsenal U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricDerby County U21Arsenal U21
Wins00
Draws01
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-2
Biggest losses0-33-12-3
Goals For0332
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricDerby County U21Arsenal U21
Form0%100%
Att33%67%
Def37%63%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Winner : Arsenal U21

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.95 @ 1xBet
Draw4.43 @ Pinnacle
Away1.73 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.43 @ Pinnacle
No2.70 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Derby County U21 = 1.06 (league 1.88), Arsenal U21 = 2.93 (league 1.71)

Arsenal U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derby County U21 0 1.8% 5.4% 7.9% 7.7% 5.7% 3.3%
1 2.0% 5.7% 8.4% 8.2% 6.0% 3.5%
2 1.0% 3.0% 4.5% 4.4% 3.2% 1.9%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.6% · Draw 13.9% · Away win 67.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1