Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 10:00 • Kingsmeadow
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.64 (league 1.89) 2.96 (league 1.69)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.3% 16.9% 39.0%
best score tips
2 - 2
5.6%
2 - 3
5.6%
3 - 2
5.0%
Score & goals probability table
Stoke City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea U21 0 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7%
1 1.0% 2.9% 4.3% 4.2% 3.1% 1.9%
2 1.3% 3.8% 5.6% 5.6% 4.1% 2.4%
3 1.1% 3.4% 5.0% 4.9% 3.6% 2.1%
4 0.7% 2.2% 3.3% 3.2% 2.4% 1.4%
5 0.4% 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelsea U21Stoke City U21
Played44
Form75%42%
Attack80%47%
Defense60%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 37 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.57 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

95%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelsea U21 Stoke City U21
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%100%75%50%0%25%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%50%
Loses50%0%25%50%0%25%

Form: Chelsea U21: WWWL • Stoke City U21: DDLW

League goals

Metric Chelsea U21 Stoke City U21
HATHAT
GF total5712347
GF avg2.53.53.01.52.01.8
GA total516347
GA avg2.50.51.51.52.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelsea U21Stoke City U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%100%100%
1.5100%25%75%75%
2.550%25%0%0%
3.525%25%0%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelsea U21Stoke City U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricChelsea U21Stoke City U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricChelsea U21Stoke City U21
Wins30
Draws02
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-52-1—
Biggest losses2-4—1-2—
Goals For3522
Goals Against4122

Model comparison

MetricChelsea U21Stoke City U21
Form64%36%
Att63%37%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.5%41.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Chelsea U21 or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.46 @ Pinnacle
Away5.20 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.24 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.53.34 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Pinnacle
No2.81 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelsea U21 = 2.64 (league 1.89), Stoke City U21 = 2.96 (league 1.69)

Stoke City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea U21 0 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7%
1 1.0% 2.9% 4.3% 4.2% 3.1% 1.9%
2 1.3% 3.8% 5.6% 5.6% 4.1% 2.4%
3 1.1% 3.4% 5.0% 4.9% 3.6% 2.1%
4 0.7% 2.2% 3.3% 3.2% 2.4% 1.4%
5 0.4% 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.3% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 39.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1