Expected Goals
4.65 (league 1.88) 1.76 (league 1.71)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.1% 8.5% 7.6%
best score tips
4 - 1
5.6%
5 - 1
5.2%
4 - 2
5.0%
Score & goals probability table
Derby County U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton U21 0 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
1 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.8% 3.1% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
3 2.8% 4.9% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
4 3.2% 5.6% 5.0% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
5 3.0% 5.2% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthampton U21Derby County U21
Played55
Form73%0%
Attack57%19%
Defense57%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

91%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southampton U21 Derby County U21
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%33%60%0%0%0%
Draws0%67%40%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%100%100%100%

Form: Southampton U21: WWDWD • Derby County U21: LLLLL

League goals

Metric Southampton U21 Derby County U21
HATHAT
GF total5712044
GF avg2.52.32.40.02.00.8
GA total3696713
GA avg1.52.01.82.03.52.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthampton U21Derby County U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%40%100%
1.5100%60%20%80%
2.540%20%20%60%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthampton U21Derby County U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000303

Penalties

MetricSouthampton U21Derby County U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSouthampton U21Derby County U21
Wins20
Draws10
Losses05

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-2
Biggest losses0-33-1
Goals For3303
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricSouthampton U21Derby County U21
Form100%0%
Att75%25%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h91%9%
Goals80%20%
Total76.2%23.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Southampton U21 and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ William Hill
Draw5.99 @ Pinnacle
Away7.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Betano
No2.55 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.35 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southampton U21 = 4.65 (league 1.88), Derby County U21 = 1.76 (league 1.71)

Derby County U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton U21 0 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
1 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.8% 3.1% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
3 2.8% 4.9% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
4 3.2% 5.6% 5.0% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
5 3.0% 5.2% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.1% · Draw 8.5% · Away win 7.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1