Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Bodymoor Heath Training Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.88) 3.72 (league 1.68)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.5% 5.1% 76.2%
best score tips
0 - 3
14.0%
0 - 4
13.0%
0 - 2
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sunderland U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa U21 0 1.6% 6.1% 11.3% 14.0% 13.0% 9.6%
1 0.7% 2.4% 4.5% 5.6% 5.2% 3.8%
2 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 0.8%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAston Villa U21Sunderland U21
Played54
Form60%25%
Attack50%50%
Defense50%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 212 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aston Villa U21 Sunderland U21
HATHAT
Played235224
Wins0%100%60%0%50%25%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses100%0%40%100%50%75%

Form: Aston Villa U21: LWLWW • Sunderland U21: LLLW

League goals

Metric Aston Villa U21 Sunderland U21
HATHAT
GF total19105510
GF avg0.53.02.02.52.52.5
GA total55109312
GA avg2.51.72.04.51.53.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAston Villa U21Sunderland U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%100%100%75%
1.560%80%100%75%
2.560%20%50%75%
3.50%0%0%50%
4.50%0%0%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAston Villa U21Sunderland U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricAston Villa U21Sunderland U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAston Villa U21Sunderland U21
Wins10
Draws00
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-3—0-3
Biggest losses0-3—3-53-2
Goals For1333
Goals Against3253

Model comparison

MetricAston Villa U21Sunderland U21
Form75%25%
Att50%50%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution11%89%
H2h64%36%
Goals61%39%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Aston Villa U21 or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ Betano
Draw4.05 @ Betano
Away2.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.33 @ Unibet
No3.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aston Villa U21 = 0.40 (league 1.88), Sunderland U21 = 3.72 (league 1.68)

Sunderland U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa U21 0 1.6% 6.1% 11.3% 14.0% 13.0% 9.6%
1 0.7% 2.4% 4.5% 5.6% 5.2% 3.8%
2 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 0.8%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.5% · Draw 5.1% · Away win 76.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1