Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 11:00 •
Academy Stadium
Expected Goals
4.78 (league 1.88)
1.76 (league 1.71)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% |
best score tips
4 - 1
5.5%
5 - 1
5.3%
4 - 2
4.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Reading U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchester City U21 | 0 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Manchester City U21 | Reading U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 25% |
| Attack | 50% | 25% |
| Defense | 44% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 2.3 | 7 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
83%
FT probability
3.5+
59%
FT probability
BTTS
92%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Manchester City U21 | Reading U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Manchester City U21: LWLD • Reading U21: DDLD
League goals
| Metric | Manchester City U21 | Reading U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Manchester City U21 | Reading U21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 75% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Manchester City U21 | Reading U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Manchester City U21 | Reading U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Manchester City U21 | Reading U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | — | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Manchester City U21 | Reading U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 61.0% | 39.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Manchester City U21 and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Manchester City U21 = 4.78 (league 1.88), Reading U21 = 1.76 (league 1.71)
| Reading U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchester City U21 | 0 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.9% · Draw 8.0% · Away win 7.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1