Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 11:00 •
Burnley FC Training Centre
Expected Goals
0.19 (league 1.88)
4.79 (league 1.68)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2% | 1.5% | 63.7% |
best score tips
0 - 4
15.2%
0 - 5
14.5%
0 - 3
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Chelsea U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Burnley U21 | 0 | 0.7% | 3.3% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 14.5% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Burnley U21 | Chelsea U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 60% |
| Attack | 38% | 81% |
| Defense | 31% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Burnley U21 | Chelsea U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 20% | 33% | 100% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 50% | 80% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
Form: Burnley U21: LWLLL • Chelsea U21: WWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Burnley U21 | Chelsea U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 2.6 |
| GA total | 7 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Burnley U21 | Chelsea U21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 100% | 100% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 100% | 80% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 40% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Burnley U21 | Chelsea U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Burnley U21 | Chelsea U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Burnley U21 | Chelsea U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 2-3 | 3-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-1 | 2-4 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Burnley U21 | Chelsea U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 32% | 68% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 4% | 96% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 25.8% | 74.3% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Chelsea U21 and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Burnley U21 = 0.19 (league 1.88), Chelsea U21 = 4.79 (league 1.68)
| Chelsea U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Burnley U21 | 0 | 0.7% | 3.3% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 14.5% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.2% · Draw 1.5% · Away win 63.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1