Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 18:00 •
Motspur Park
Expected Goals
2.95 (league 1.88)
0.50 (league 1.71)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.4% | 9.9% | 3.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.8%
3 - 0
13.6%
4 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Derby County U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fulham U21 | 0 | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.8% | 6.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.6% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.0% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fulham U21 | Derby County U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 0% |
| Attack | 87% | 13% |
| Defense | 53% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
75%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fulham U21 | Derby County U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 50% | 100% | 80% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Form: Fulham U21: WWWWD • Derby County U21: LLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Fulham U21 | Derby County U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 10 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 17 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 2.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fulham U21 | Derby County U21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 80% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 80% | 40% | 17% | 83% |
| 2.5 | 60% | 20% | 17% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fulham U21 | Derby County U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fulham U21 | Derby County U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fulham U21 | Derby County U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fulham U21 | Derby County U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 87% | 13% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 87% | 13% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 86% | 14% |
| Total | 81.3% | 18.8% |
Advice: Winner : Fulham U21
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Fulham U21 = 2.95 (league 1.88), Derby County U21 = 0.50 (league 1.71)
| Derby County U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fulham U21 | 0 | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.8% | 6.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.6% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.0% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.4% · Draw 9.9% · Away win 3.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1