Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 11:30 • Eppleton Colliery Welfare Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.26 (league 1.88) 5.35 (league 1.68)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.3% 7.6% 39.0%
best score tips
2 - 5
4.6%
2 - 4
4.3%
1 - 5
4.1%
Score & goals probability table
Stoke City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland U21 0 0.0% 0.3% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 1.8%
1 0.1% 0.6% 1.6% 2.9% 3.8% 4.1%
2 0.1% 0.7% 1.8% 3.2% 4.3% 4.6%
3 0.1% 0.5% 1.4% 2.4% 3.3% 3.5%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 1.4% 1.8% 2.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSunderland U21Stoke City U21
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack87%67%
Defense0%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 37 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

98%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sunderland U21 Stoke City U21
HATHAT
Played235336
Wins0%33%20%67%33%50%
Draws0%33%20%0%67%33%
Loses100%33%60%33%0%17%

Form: Sunderland U21: LLLWD • Stoke City U21: DDLWWW

League goals

Metric Sunderland U21 Stoke City U21
HATHAT
GF total58136612
GF avg2.52.72.62.02.02.0
GA total9615459
GA avg4.52.03.01.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSunderland U21Stoke City U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%100%100%
1.5100%80%83%50%
2.560%80%17%0%
3.50%40%0%0%
4.50%20%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSunderland U21Stoke City U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricSunderland U21Stoke City U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSunderland U21Stoke City U21
Wins10
Draws02
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-33-11-2
Biggest losses3-53-21-2—
Goals For3332
Goals Against5322

Model comparison

MetricSunderland U21Stoke City U21
Form29%71%
Att57%43%
Def32%68%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h100%0%
Goals70%30%
Total44.0%56.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Stoke City U21 and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Betano
Draw4.35 @ Pinnacle
Away3.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.38 @ Pinnacle
No3.15 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sunderland U21 = 2.26 (league 1.88), Stoke City U21 = 5.35 (league 1.68)

Stoke City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland U21 0 0.0% 0.3% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 1.8%
1 0.1% 0.6% 1.6% 2.9% 3.8% 4.1%
2 0.1% 0.7% 1.8% 3.2% 4.3% 4.6%
3 0.1% 0.5% 1.4% 2.4% 3.3% 3.5%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 1.4% 1.8% 2.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.3% · Draw 7.6% · Away win 39.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1