Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 13:00 • Kingsmeadow
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.88) 2.05 (league 1.68)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.9% 20.9% 58.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.9%
1 - 1
9.7%
0 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea U21 0 4.4% 9.1% 9.4% 6.4% 3.3% 1.3%
1 4.7% 9.7% 9.9% 6.8% 3.5% 1.4%
2 2.5% 5.1% 5.3% 3.6% 1.8% 0.8%
3 0.9% 1.8% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelsea U21Arsenal U21
Played55
Form60%73%
Attack52%43%
Defense67%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelsea U21 Arsenal U21
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins33%100%67%50%50%50%
Draws0%0%0%25%50%33%
Loses67%0%33%25%0%17%

Form: Chelsea U21: WWWLLW • Arsenal U21: LDWWWD

League goals

Metric Chelsea U21 Arsenal U21
HATHAT
GF total68148311
GF avg2.02.72.32.01.51.8
GA total718729
GA avg2.30.31.31.81.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelsea U21Arsenal U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%67%
1.567%33%67%67%
2.533%17%17%17%
3.517%17%0%0%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelsea U21Arsenal U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets022112
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricChelsea U21Arsenal U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricChelsea U21Arsenal U21
Wins33
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-53-20-1
Biggest losses2-4—2-3—
Goals For3532
Goals Against4132

Model comparison

MetricChelsea U21Arsenal U21
Form45%55%
Att55%45%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h60%40%
Goals45%55%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : Chelsea U21 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.81 @ 188Bet
Draw4.53 @ Pinnacle
Away3.75 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.04 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.39 @ Pinnacle
No3.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelsea U21 = 1.06 (league 1.88), Arsenal U21 = 2.05 (league 1.68)

Arsenal U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea U21 0 4.4% 9.1% 9.4% 6.4% 3.3% 1.3%
1 4.7% 9.7% 9.9% 6.8% 3.5% 1.4%
2 2.5% 5.1% 5.3% 3.6% 1.8% 0.8%
3 0.9% 1.8% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.9% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 58.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1