Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 15:00 • Elite Football Performance Centre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.30 (league 1.88) 0.29 (league 1.68)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.8% 6.1% 1.4%
best score tips
3 - 0
16.5%
2 - 0
15.0%
4 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton U21 0 2.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.1% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.0% 4.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.5% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.6% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.0% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrighton U21Manchester City U21
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack59%65%
Defense41%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brighton U21 Manchester City U21
HATHAT
Played358437
Wins67%20%38%75%0%43%
Draws33%40%38%25%0%14%
Loses0%40%25%0%100%43%

Form: Brighton U21: WWLWDDLD • Manchester City U21: LWLDWLW

League goals

Metric Brighton U21 Manchester City U21
HATHAT
GF total8101813215
GF avg2.72.02.33.30.72.1
GA total29114711
GA avg0.71.81.41.02.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrighton U21Manchester City U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%86%71%
1.563%38%57%57%
2.550%25%57%29%
3.525%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrighton U21Manchester City U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricBrighton U21Manchester City U21
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBrighton U21Manchester City U21
Wins21
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-44-0—
Biggest losses—3-1—3-1
Goals For4441
Goals Against1333

Model comparison

MetricBrighton U21Manchester City U21
Form46%54%
Att48%52%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution93%7%
H2h33%67%
Goals45%55%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Manchester City U21

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.24 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.04 @ Pinnacle
Away1.70 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Pinnacle
No2.70 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Brighton U21 = 3.30 (league 1.88), Manchester City U21 = 0.29 (league 1.68)

Manchester City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton U21 0 2.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.1% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.0% 4.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.5% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.6% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.0% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.8% · Draw 6.1% · Away win 1.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1