Fri, Jan 9 2026 • 19:00 • Elite Football Performance Centre
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.86) 0.68 (league 1.68)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.9% 19.8% 11.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.6%
1 - 0
13.6%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Aston Villa U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton U21 0 6.7% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.6% 9.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 9.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.2% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrighton U21Aston Villa U21
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack60%53%
Defense40%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brighton U21 Aston Villa U21
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins75%20%44%20%75%44%
Draws25%40%33%20%0%11%
Loses0%40%22%60%25%44%

Form: Brighton U21: WWLWDDLDW • Aston Villa U21: LWLWWDLLW

League goals

Metric Brighton U21 Aston Villa U21
HATHAT
GF total1010206915
GF avg2.52.02.21.22.31.7
GA total291110616
GA avg0.51.81.22.01.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrighton U21Aston Villa U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%67%67%89%
1.567%33%56%67%
2.544%22%44%22%
3.522%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrighton U21Aston Villa U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricBrighton U21Aston Villa U21
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBrighton U21Aston Villa U21
Wins22
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-42-01-3
Biggest losses—3-10-31-0
Goals For4433
Goals Against1332

Model comparison

MetricBrighton U21Aston Villa U21
Form46%54%
Att53%47%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h50%50%
Goals38%62%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : Brighton U21 or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.17 @ Pinnacle
Away2.90 @ Dafabet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.39 @ Pinnacle
No3.10 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.39 @ Betano
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Brighton U21 = 2.01 (league 1.86), Aston Villa U21 = 0.68 (league 1.68)

Aston Villa U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton U21 0 6.7% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.6% 9.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 9.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.2% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.9% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 11.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1