Fri, Jan 9 2026 • 19:00 • Moor Farm Training Centre
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.86) 2.74 (league 1.68)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.9% 17.1% 57.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.1%
1 - 3
7.4%
2 - 2
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Sunderland U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derby County U21 0 1.4% 3.9% 5.4% 4.9% 3.4% 1.8%
1 2.2% 5.9% 8.1% 7.4% 5.1% 2.8%
2 1.6% 4.4% 6.1% 5.6% 3.8% 2.1%
3 0.8% 2.2% 3.1% 2.8% 1.9% 1.0%
4 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDerby County U21Sunderland U21
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack60%60%
Defense13%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Derby County U21 Sunderland U21
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins0%20%11%20%25%22%
Draws0%20%11%0%25%11%
Loses100%60%78%80%50%67%

Form: Derby County U21: LLLLLLDLW • Sunderland U21: LLLWDLLWL

League goals

Metric Derby County U21 Sunderland U21
HATHAT
GF total0131311819
GF avg0.02.61.42.22.02.1
GA total9162515823
GA avg2.33.22.83.02.02.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDerby County U21Sunderland U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%100%89%89%
1.533%78%67%89%
2.533%67%44%44%
3.522%33%11%22%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDerby County U21Sunderland U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score404011

Penalties

MetricDerby County U21Sunderland U21
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricDerby County U21Sunderland U21
Wins01
Draws11
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-44-20-3
Biggest losses0-34-13-52-0
Goals For0443
Goals Against3453

Model comparison

MetricDerby County U21Sunderland U21
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h9%91%
Goals13%88%
Total33.6%66.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sunderland U21

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Superbet
Draw4.13 @ Pinnacle
Away2.96 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.39 @ Pinnacle
No3.10 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Derby County U21 = 1.50 (league 1.86), Sunderland U21 = 2.74 (league 1.68)

Sunderland U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derby County U21 0 1.4% 3.9% 5.4% 4.9% 3.4% 1.8%
1 2.2% 5.9% 8.1% 7.4% 5.1% 2.8%
2 1.6% 4.4% 6.1% 5.6% 3.8% 2.1%
3 0.8% 2.2% 3.1% 2.8% 1.9% 1.0%
4 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.9% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 57.6%

vtt 3 , vtd1