Fri, Jan 9 2026 • 14:00 • Bet365 Stadium
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
1.92 (league 1.88) 1.53 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.5% 22.1% 30.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.3%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Southampton U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stoke City U21 0 3.2% 4.9% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.1% 9.3% 7.1% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.8% 9.0% 6.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.7% 5.7% 4.4% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.8% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStoke City U21Southampton U21
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack67%73%
Defense60%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

94%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stoke City U21 Southampton U21
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins50%40%44%75%40%56%
Draws25%60%44%25%40%33%
Loses25%0%11%0%20%11%

Form: Stoke City U21: DDLWWWWDD • Southampton U21: WWDWDWLWD

League goals

Metric Stoke City U21 Southampton U21
HATHAT
GF total71017101020
GF avg1.82.01.92.52.02.2
GA total581351015
GA avg1.31.61.41.32.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStoke City U21Southampton U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.578%44%78%44%
2.511%0%33%22%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStoke City U21Southampton U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricStoke City U21Southampton U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricStoke City U21Southampton U21
Wins42
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-24-11-2
Biggest losses1-2——3-1
Goals For3243
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricStoke City U21Southampton U21
Form58%42%
Att48%52%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h0%100%
Goals7%93%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Southampton U21

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Betano
Draw4.10 @ Superbet
Away2.07 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ 188Bet
No2.88 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stoke City U21 = 1.92 (league 1.88), Southampton U21 = 1.53 (league 1.70)

Southampton U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stoke City U21 0 3.2% 4.9% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.1% 9.3% 7.1% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.8% 9.0% 6.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.7% 5.7% 4.4% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.8% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.5% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 30.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1