Fri, Jan 9 2026 • 19:00 • Academy Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.51 (league 1.88) 1.47 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.2% 12.4% 11.6%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.3%
4 - 1
6.4%
2 - 1
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Burnley U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City U21 0 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.4% 3.5% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.2% 6.2% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.9% 7.3% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 4.3% 6.4% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
5 3.1% 4.5% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester City U21Burnley U21
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack60%40%
Defense67%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester City U21 Burnley U21
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins75%20%44%0%50%22%
Draws25%0%11%0%0%0%
Loses0%80%44%100%50%78%

Form: Manchester City U21: LWLDWLWLW • Burnley U21: LWLLLLWLL

League goals

Metric Manchester City U21 Burnley U21
HATHAT
GF total1341721012
GF avg3.30.81.90.42.51.3
GA total4101410818
GA avg1.02.01.62.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester City U21Burnley U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%67%100%
1.556%56%33%78%
2.544%22%22%22%
3.511%0%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester City U21Burnley U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score022303

Penalties

MetricManchester City U21Burnley U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricManchester City U21Burnley U21
Wins11
Draws10
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-2—1-4
Biggest losses—3-10-33-2
Goals For4214
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricManchester City U21Burnley U21
Form75%25%
Att60%40%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total68.5%31.5%

Advice: Double chance : Manchester City U21 or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ Superbet
Draw7.91 @ Pinnacle
Away10.25 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Unibet
No2.57 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester City U21 = 3.51 (league 1.88), Burnley U21 = 1.47 (league 1.70)

Burnley U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City U21 0 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.4% 3.5% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.2% 6.2% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.9% 7.3% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 4.3% 6.4% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
5 3.1% 4.5% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.2% · Draw 12.4% · Away win 11.6%

vtt 2 , vtd1