Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 13:00 • Eppleton Colliery Welfare Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.86) 2.32 (league 1.68)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.0% 19.0% 59.8%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
1 - 1
8.3%
0 - 2
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Newcastle United U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland U21 0 3.0% 7.0% 8.1% 6.3% 3.6% 1.7%
1 3.6% 8.3% 9.6% 7.4% 4.3% 2.0%
2 2.1% 4.9% 5.7% 4.4% 2.5% 1.2%
3 0.8% 1.9% 2.2% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSunderland U21Newcastle United U21
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack38%25%
Defense54%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sunderland U21 Newcastle United U21
HATHAT
Played5496410
Wins20%25%22%17%25%20%
Draws0%25%11%0%50%20%
Loses80%50%67%83%25%60%

Form: Sunderland U21: LLLWDLLWL • Newcastle United U21: LLDLDLWLWL

League goals

Metric Sunderland U21 Newcastle United U21
HATHAT
GF total118197512
GF avg2.22.02.11.21.31.2
GA total1582317421
GA avg3.02.02.62.81.02.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSunderland U21Newcastle United U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%89%70%90%
1.567%89%40%60%
2.544%44%10%30%
3.511%22%0%20%
4.50%11%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSunderland U21Newcastle United U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricSunderland U21Newcastle United U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSunderland U21Newcastle United U21
Wins11
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-33-20-2
Biggest losses3-52-00-51-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against5352

Model comparison

MetricSunderland U21Newcastle United U21
Form40%60%
Att60%40%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.5%53.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Newcastle United U21

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.27 @ Pinnacle
Away3.45 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.39 @ Pinnacle
No3.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sunderland U21 = 1.18 (league 1.86), Newcastle United U21 = 2.32 (league 1.68)

Newcastle United U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland U21 0 3.0% 7.0% 8.1% 6.3% 3.6% 1.7%
1 3.6% 8.3% 9.6% 7.4% 4.3% 2.0%
2 2.1% 4.9% 5.7% 4.4% 2.5% 1.2%
3 0.8% 1.9% 2.2% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.0% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 59.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1