Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 13:00 • LNER Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.86) 2.14 (league 1.68)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.3% 20.6% 54.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
1 - 1
8.9%
0 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Stoke City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds United U21 0 3.2% 6.9% 7.4% 5.3% 2.8% 1.2%
1 4.2% 8.9% 9.6% 6.8% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.7% 5.8% 6.2% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0%
3 1.2% 2.5% 2.6% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeeds United U21Stoke City U21
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack33%42%
Defense75%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leeds United U21 Stoke City U21
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins25%60%44%50%40%44%
Draws25%20%22%25%60%44%
Loses50%20%33%25%0%11%

Form: Leeds United U21: WLWLWDDLW • Stoke City U21: DDLWWWWDD

League goals

Metric Leeds United U21 Stoke City U21
HATHAT
GF total6111771017
GF avg1.52.21.91.82.01.9
GA total76135813
GA avg1.81.21.41.31.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeeds United U21Stoke City U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%100%
1.578%56%78%44%
2.511%22%11%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeeds United U21Stoke City U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricLeeds United U21Stoke City U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLeeds United U21Stoke City U21
Wins14
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-33-11-2
Biggest losses2-33-21-2—
Goals For2332
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricLeeds United U21Stoke City U21
Form42%58%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h80%20%
Goals73%27%
Total54.8%45.2%

Advice: Double chance : Leeds United U21 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Bet365
Draw3.91 @ Pinnacle
Away3.75 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ 188Bet
No2.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leeds United U21 = 1.29 (league 1.86), Stoke City U21 = 2.14 (league 1.68)

Stoke City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds United U21 0 3.2% 6.9% 7.4% 5.3% 2.8% 1.2%
1 4.2% 8.9% 9.6% 6.8% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.7% 5.8% 6.2% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0%
3 1.2% 2.5% 2.6% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.3% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 54.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1