Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 19:00 • Meadow Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.44 (league 1.86) 2.32 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.7% 15.2% 21.9%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.7%
2 - 2
5.0%
4 - 2
4.9%
Score & goals probability table
Burnley U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal U21 0 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
1 1.1% 2.5% 2.9% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6%
2 1.9% 4.3% 5.0% 3.9% 2.3% 1.0%
3 2.1% 4.9% 5.7% 4.5% 2.6% 1.2%
4 1.8% 4.3% 4.9% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0%
5 1.3% 2.9% 3.4% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenal U21Burnley U21
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack18%29%
Defense57%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.415 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal U21 Burnley U21
HATHAT
Played4596511
Wins50%20%33%0%40%18%
Draws25%40%33%17%0%9%
Loses25%40%33%83%60%73%

Form: Arsenal U21: LDWWWDLDL • Burnley U21: LWLLLLWLLLD

League goals

Metric Arsenal U21 Burnley U21
HATHAT
GF total851331114
GF avg2.01.01.40.52.21.3
GA total71219111627
GA avg1.82.42.11.83.22.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenal U21Burnley U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%78%73%100%
1.544%67%27%73%
2.511%22%18%27%
3.50%11%9%9%
4.50%11%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenal U21Burnley U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score011303

Penalties

MetricArsenal U21Burnley U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricArsenal U21Burnley U21
Wins31
Draws10
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-1—1-4
Biggest losses2-37-00-38-1
Goals For3214
Goals Against3738

Model comparison

MetricArsenal U21Burnley U21
Form56%44%
Att38%62%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Arsenal U21 or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.63 @ Unibet
Draw5.11 @ Pinnacle
Away5.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.42 @ Pinnacle
No2.93 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arsenal U21 = 3.44 (league 1.86), Burnley U21 = 2.32 (league 1.70)

Burnley U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal U21 0 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
1 1.1% 2.5% 2.9% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6%
2 1.9% 4.3% 5.0% 3.9% 2.3% 1.0%
3 2.1% 4.9% 5.7% 4.5% 2.6% 1.2%
4 1.8% 4.3% 4.9% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0%
5 1.3% 2.9% 3.4% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.7% · Draw 15.2% · Away win 21.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1