Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 12:30 • LNER Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.86) 0.96 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.7% 25.5% 23.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
12.1%
2 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds United U21 0 8.2% 7.8% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.7% 12.1% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.4% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.1% 4.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeeds United U21Arsenal U21
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack43%36%
Defense50%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leeds United U21 Arsenal U21
HATHAT
Played56115510
Wins20%50%36%60%20%40%
Draws20%17%18%20%40%30%
Loses60%33%45%20%40%30%

Form: Leeds United U21: WLWLWDDLWLL • Arsenal U21: LDWWWDLDLW

League goals

Metric Leeds United U21 Arsenal U21
HATHAT
GF total612189514
GF avg1.22.01.61.81.01.4
GA total881671219
GA avg1.61.31.51.42.41.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeeds United U21Arsenal U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%73%90%70%
1.564%55%40%60%
2.59%18%10%20%
3.50%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeeds United U21Arsenal U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricLeeds United U21Arsenal U21
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLeeds United U21Arsenal U21
Wins13
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-33-20-1
Biggest losses2-33-22-37-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against3337

Model comparison

MetricLeeds United U21Arsenal U21
Form44%56%
Att55%45%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : Leeds United U21 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.55 @ Unibet
Draw4.22 @ Pinnacle
Away1.91 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.42 @ Pinnacle
No3.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.15 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leeds United U21 = 1.55 (league 1.86), Arsenal U21 = 0.96 (league 1.67)

Arsenal U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds United U21 0 8.2% 7.8% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.7% 12.1% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.4% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.1% 4.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.7% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 23.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1