Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 19:00 • Bodymoor Heath Training Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.87) 1.63 (league 1.69)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.2% 24.7% 52.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.2%
1 - 1
11.7%
0 - 2
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Newcastle United U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa U21 0 7.5% 12.2% 10.0% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.2% 11.7% 9.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.5% 5.6% 4.6% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAston Villa U21Newcastle United U21
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack36%27%
Defense68%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aston Villa U21 Newcastle United U21
HATHAT
Played66126511
Wins33%50%42%17%20%18%
Draws17%33%25%0%60%27%
Loses50%17%33%83%20%55%

Form: Aston Villa U21: LWLWWDLLWDWD • Newcastle United U21: LLDLDLWLWLD

League goals

Metric Aston Villa U21 Newcastle United U21
HATHAT
GF total1110217613
GF avg1.81.71.81.21.21.2
GA total1472117522
GA avg2.31.21.82.81.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAston Villa U21Newcastle United U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%73%91%
1.550%58%36%55%
2.542%25%9%27%
3.58%8%0%18%
4.58%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAston Villa U21Newcastle United U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score224213

Penalties

MetricAston Villa U21Newcastle United U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAston Villa U21Newcastle United U21
Wins21
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-20-2
Biggest losses0-31-00-51-0
Goals For5332
Goals Against4252

Model comparison

MetricAston Villa U21Newcastle United U21
Form53%47%
Att57%43%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Newcastle United U21

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ Unibet
Draw4.49 @ Pinnacle
Away4.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Pinnacle
No3.00 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aston Villa U21 = 0.96 (league 1.87), Newcastle United U21 = 1.63 (league 1.69)

Newcastle United U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa U21 0 7.5% 12.2% 10.0% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.2% 11.7% 9.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.5% 5.6% 4.6% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.2% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 52.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1