Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 19:00 • Elite Football Performance Centre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.14 (league 1.87) 0.71 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.2% 18.6% 11.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.3%
1 - 0
12.4%
3 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sunderland U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton U21 0 5.8% 4.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.4% 8.8% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.5% 6.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrighton U21Sunderland U21
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack23%50%
Defense77%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brighton U21 Sunderland U21
HATHAT
Played57127512
Wins60%14%33%29%20%25%
Draws20%43%33%14%40%25%
Loses20%43%33%57%40%50%

Form: Brighton U21: WWLWDDLDWLDL • Sunderland U21: LLLWDLLWLDDW

League goals

Metric Brighton U21 Sunderland U21
HATHAT
GF total101121151025
GF avg2.01.61.82.12.02.1
GA total31114181028
GA avg0.61.61.22.62.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrighton U21Sunderland U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%92%92%
1.550%25%67%83%
2.533%17%42%33%
3.517%0%8%17%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrighton U21Sunderland U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets213011
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricBrighton U21Sunderland U21
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBrighton U21Sunderland U21
Wins21
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-44-20-3
Biggest losses0-13-13-52-0
Goals For4443
Goals Against1353

Model comparison

MetricBrighton U21Sunderland U21
Form38%62%
Att31%69%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total51.5%48.5%

Advice: Double chance : Brighton U21 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ Betano
Draw4.60 @ Pinnacle
Away4.30 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Unibet
No3.20 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Brighton U21 = 2.14 (league 1.87), Sunderland U21 = 0.71 (league 1.70)

Sunderland U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton U21 0 5.8% 4.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.4% 8.8% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.5% 6.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.2% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 11.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1