Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 12:00 • Bearwood Park Training Facility
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.86) 1.93 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.6% 21.3% 61.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.1%
0 - 2
11.7%
1 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Stoke City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reading U21 0 6.2% 12.1% 11.7% 7.5% 3.6% 1.4%
1 5.2% 10.1% 9.8% 6.3% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.2% 4.3% 4.1% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReading U21Stoke City U21
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack56%38%
Defense50%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Reading U21 Stoke City U21
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins20%29%25%33%50%42%
Draws40%14%25%17%50%33%
Loses40%57%50%50%0%25%

Form: Reading U21: DDLDLLLLLWWW • Stoke City U21: DDLWWWWDDWLL

League goals

Metric Reading U21 Stoke City U21
HATHAT
GF total691591120
GF avg1.21.31.31.51.81.7
GA total9162513821
GA avg1.82.32.12.21.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReading U21Stoke City U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%83%100%92%
1.525%50%58%50%
2.517%33%8%8%
3.58%25%0%8%
4.50%17%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReading U21Stoke City U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score213000

Penalties

MetricReading U21Stoke City U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricReading U21Stoke City U21
Wins04
Draws22
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-33-11-2
Biggest losses1-55-21-6—
Goals For4332
Goals Against5562

Model comparison

MetricReading U21Stoke City U21
Form64%36%
Att60%40%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h67%33%
Goals62%38%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Reading U21 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ Unibet
Draw4.52 @ Pinnacle
Away4.33 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.46 @ Pinnacle
No2.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Reading U21 = 0.84 (league 1.86), Stoke City U21 = 1.93 (league 1.67)

Stoke City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reading U21 0 6.2% 12.1% 11.7% 7.5% 3.6% 1.4%
1 5.2% 10.1% 9.8% 6.3% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.2% 4.3% 4.1% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.6% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 61.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1