Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 14:00 •
The Arden Garages Stadium
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.86)
1.83 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.2% | 22.7% | 56.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
11.4%
1 - 1
10.8%
0 - 2
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Chelsea U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Birmingham City U21 | 0 | 6.2% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Birmingham City U21 | Chelsea U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 87% |
| Attack | 41% | 88% |
| Defense | 18% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Birmingham City U21 | Chelsea U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Wins | 20% | 33% | 29% | 67% | 71% | 69% |
| Draws | 60% | 0% | 21% | 11% | 0% | 6% |
| Loses | 20% | 67% | 50% | 22% | 29% | 25% |
Form: Birmingham City U21: DWDLLLWWLLDLLW • Chelsea U21: WWWLLWWLWWLWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Birmingham City U21 | Chelsea U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 14 | 22 | 27 | 12 | 39 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 9 | 25 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Birmingham City U21 | Chelsea U21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 86% | 88% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 64% | 75% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 50% | 38% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 21% | 31% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 14% | 13% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Birmingham City U21 | Chelsea U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Birmingham City U21 | Chelsea U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Birmingham City U21 | Chelsea U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-4 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-0 | 2-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Birmingham City U21 | Chelsea U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 24% | 76% |
| Att | 32% | 68% |
| Def | 26% | 74% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 29.0% | 71.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Chelsea U21
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Birmingham City U21 = 0.95 (league 1.86), Chelsea U21 = 1.83 (league 1.67)
| Chelsea U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Birmingham City U21 | 0 | 6.2% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.2% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 56.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1