Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 14:00 • The Arden Garages Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.87) 1.70 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.2% 23.9% 56.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.9%
1 - 1
11.3%
0 - 2
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Chelsea U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham City U21 0 7.5% 12.9% 10.9% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9%
1 6.6% 11.3% 9.6% 5.5% 2.3% 0.8%
2 2.9% 5.0% 4.2% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBirmingham City U21Chelsea U21
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack38%71%
Defense52%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.615 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Birmingham City U21 Chelsea U21
HATHAT
Played69159716
Wins17%33%27%67%71%69%
Draws67%0%27%11%0%6%
Loses17%67%47%22%29%25%

Form: Birmingham City U21: DWDLLLWWLLDLLWD • Chelsea U21: WWWLLWWLWWLWWWDW

League goals

Metric Birmingham City U21 Chelsea U21
HATHAT
GF total91423271239
GF avg1.51.61.53.01.72.4
GA total10253514822
GA avg1.72.82.31.61.11.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBirmingham City U21Chelsea U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%87%88%75%
1.553%60%75%31%
2.513%47%38%13%
3.57%20%31%13%
4.50%13%13%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBirmingham City U21Chelsea U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets022134
Failed to score033022

Penalties

MetricBirmingham City U21Chelsea U21
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricBirmingham City U21Chelsea U21
Wins23
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-45-00-5
Biggest losses1-35-02-45-0
Goals For2455
Goals Against3645

Model comparison

MetricBirmingham City U21Chelsea U21
Form28%72%
Att35%65%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total32.8%67.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chelsea U21

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.75 @ 10Bet
Draw7.65 @ Pinnacle
Away1.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ William Hill
No2.55 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.28 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Birmingham City U21 = 0.88 (league 1.87), Chelsea U21 = 1.70 (league 1.70)

Chelsea U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham City U21 0 7.5% 12.9% 10.9% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9%
1 6.6% 11.3% 9.6% 5.5% 2.3% 0.8%
2 2.9% 5.0% 4.2% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.2% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 56.0%

vtt 4 , vtd1