Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 19:00 • Heritage Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.86) 1.05 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.8% 29.4% 33.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
12.8%
0 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Nottingham Forest U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Middlesbrough U21 0 11.5% 12.1% 6.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.8% 13.4% 7.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.1% 7.5% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMiddlesbrough U21Nottingham Forest U21
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack75%38%
Defense63%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Middlesbrough U21 Nottingham Forest U21
HATHAT
Played76136713
Wins29%17%23%33%43%38%
Draws29%67%46%17%14%15%
Loses43%17%31%50%43%46%

Form: Middlesbrough U21: LWDLDLLDWWDDD • Nottingham Forest U21: WDLLLLLWWWLDW

League goals

Metric Middlesbrough U21 Nottingham Forest U21
HATHAT
GF total167237815
GF avg2.31.21.81.21.11.2
GA total118197613
GA avg1.61.31.51.20.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMiddlesbrough U21Nottingham Forest U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%92%69%62%
1.538%31%38%31%
2.523%15%8%8%
3.515%8%0%0%
4.515%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMiddlesbrough U21Nottingham Forest U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets011235
Failed to score303224

Penalties

MetricMiddlesbrough U21Nottingham Forest U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMiddlesbrough U21Nottingham Forest U21
Wins23
Draws11
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-12-00-3
Biggest losses0-14-22-32-1
Goals For6223
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricMiddlesbrough U21Nottingham Forest U21
Form47%53%
Att67%33%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h36%64%
Goals47%53%
Total45.2%54.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Nottingham Forest U21

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Unibet
Draw3.87 @ Pinnacle
Away2.73 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Pinnacle
No2.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.56 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Middlesbrough U21 = 1.11 (league 1.86), Nottingham Forest U21 = 1.05 (league 1.67)

Nottingham Forest U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Middlesbrough U21 0 11.5% 12.1% 6.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.8% 13.4% 7.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.1% 7.5% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.8% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 33.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1