Sun, Feb 22 2026 • 16:00 •
Elite Football Performance Centre
Expected Goals
2.70 (league 1.89)
0.54 (league 1.64)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.2% | 12.1% | 5.1% |
best score tips
2 - 0
14.4%
3 - 0
12.9%
1 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Birmingham City U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Brighton U21 | 0 | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.3% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.9% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Brighton U21 | Birmingham City U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 27% |
| Attack | 15% | 25% |
| Defense | 70% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 16 | 3.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Brighton U21 | Birmingham City U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| Wins | 50% | 25% | 36% | 20% | 29% | 25% |
| Draws | 17% | 38% | 29% | 60% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 33% | 38% | 36% | 20% | 71% | 50% |
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Birmingham City U21DWDLLLWWLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Brighton U21 | Birmingham City U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 5 | 12 | 17 | 9 | 21 | 30 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Brighton U21 | Birmingham City U21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 79% | 75% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 29% | 50% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 14% | 8% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Brighton U21 | Birmingham City U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Brighton U21 | Birmingham City U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Brighton U21 | Birmingham City U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Brighton U21 | Birmingham City U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 60.8% | 39.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.28 @ Bet365
Draw6.65 @ Pinnacle
Away9.15 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.33 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.30 @ Unibet
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League standings
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