Mon, Feb 23 2026 • 19:00 • Select Car Leasing Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.86) 1.32 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.7% 24.3% 31.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reading U21 0 5.3% 7.0% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.6% 11.3% 7.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.1% 6.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReading U21Arsenal U21
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack58%32%
Defense79%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Reading U21 Arsenal U21
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%29%31%57%33%46%
Draws33%14%23%29%33%31%
Loses33%57%46%14%33%23%

Form: Reading U21: DDLDLLLLLWWWW • Arsenal U21: LDWWWDLDLWWDW

League goals

Metric Reading U21 Arsenal U21
HATHAT
GF total991810919
GF avg1.51.31.41.41.51.5
GA total9162571219
GA avg1.52.31.91.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReading U21Arsenal U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%77%85%54%
1.531%46%38%46%
2.523%31%15%15%
3.58%23%8%8%
4.50%15%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReading U21Arsenal U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets213426
Failed to score213112

Penalties

MetricReading U21Arsenal U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricReading U21Arsenal U21
Wins03
Draws21
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-33-20-4
Biggest losses1-55-22-37-0
Goals For4334
Goals Against5537

Model comparison

MetricReading U21Arsenal U21
Form55%45%
Att65%35%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h0%100%
Goals17%83%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : Reading U21 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.77 @ 188Bet
Draw3.80 @ 188Bet
Away2.95 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Pinnacle
No2.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.63 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Reading U21 = 1.61 (league 1.86), Arsenal U21 = 1.32 (league 1.70)

Arsenal U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Reading U21 0 5.3% 7.0% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.6% 11.3% 7.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.1% 6.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.7% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 31.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1