Mon, Mar 2 2026 • 19:00 • Old Trafford
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.86) 1.62 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.4% 23.3% 38.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
8.4%
2 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Chelsea U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United U21 0 3.9% 6.4% 5.2% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
1 6.3% 10.3% 8.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.1% 8.3% 6.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.7% 4.4% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
4 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester United U21Chelsea U21
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack57%57%
Defense74%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester United U21 Chelsea U21
HATHAT
Played77149615
Wins57%86%71%67%67%67%
Draws29%14%21%11%0%7%
Loses14%0%7%22%33%27%

Form: Manchester United U21: WWWWWWWLWDDWDW • Chelsea U21: WWWLLWWLWWLWWWD

League goals

Metric Manchester United U21 Chelsea U21
HATHAT
GF total162036271037
GF avg2.32.92.63.01.72.5
GA total1171814822
GA avg1.61.01.31.61.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester United U21Chelsea U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%93%87%80%
1.571%21%73%33%
2.543%7%40%13%
3.543%7%33%13%
4.57%0%13%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester United U21Chelsea U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets011123
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricManchester United U21Chelsea U21
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricManchester United U21Chelsea U21
Wins73
Draws20
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-55-00-5
Biggest losses0-4—2-45-0
Goals For4555
Goals Against4245

Model comparison

MetricManchester United U21Chelsea U21
Form47%53%
Att50%50%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h9%91%
Goals35%65%
Total42.3%57.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Chelsea U21 and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.25 @ Pinnacle
Away2.80 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.31 @ Pinnacle
No3.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester United U21 = 1.61 (league 1.86), Chelsea U21 = 1.62 (league 1.67)

Chelsea U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United U21 0 3.9% 6.4% 5.2% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
1 6.3% 10.3% 8.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.1% 8.3% 6.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.7% 4.4% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
4 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.4% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 38.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1