Mon, Mar 2 2026 • 18:00 • Heritage Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.39 (league 1.86) 1.09 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.9% 11.2% 8.1%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.0%
3 - 0
7.4%
2 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Birmingham City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Middlesbrough U21 0 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.9% 4.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.4% 8.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.3% 6.8% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 4.2% 4.6% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMiddlesbrough U21Birmingham City U21
Played55
Form40%7%
Attack30%22%
Defense70%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.419 | 3.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Middlesbrough U21 Birmingham City U21
HATHAT
Played87155813
Wins38%14%27%20%25%23%
Draws25%57%40%60%0%23%
Loses38%29%33%20%75%54%

Form: Middlesbrough U21: LWDLDLLDWWDDDWL • Birmingham City U21: DWDLLLWWLLDLL

League goals

Metric Middlesbrough U21 Birmingham City U21
HATHAT
GF total1782581018
GF avg2.11.11.71.61.31.4
GA total11102192433
GA avg1.41.41.41.83.02.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMiddlesbrough U21Birmingham City U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%87%77%85%
1.533%33%54%69%
2.520%13%8%54%
3.513%7%0%23%
4.513%0%0%15%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMiddlesbrough U21Birmingham City U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets112022
Failed to score303033

Penalties

MetricMiddlesbrough U21Birmingham City U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricMiddlesbrough U21Birmingham City U21
Wins22
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-12-10-3
Biggest losses0-14-21-35-0
Goals For6223
Goals Against3436

Model comparison

MetricMiddlesbrough U21Birmingham City U21
Form86%14%
Att58%42%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h50%50%
Goals67%33%
Total68.3%31.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Middlesbrough U21 or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ Bet365
Draw6.60 @ Pinnacle
Away7.50 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Pinnacle
No2.55 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.28 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Middlesbrough U21 = 3.39 (league 1.86), Birmingham City U21 = 1.09 (league 1.67)

Birmingham City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Middlesbrough U21 0 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.9% 4.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.4% 8.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.3% 6.8% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 4.2% 4.6% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.9% · Draw 11.2% · Away win 8.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1