Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 19:00 • Bodymoor Heath Training Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.14 (league 1.87) 2.61 (league 1.69)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.3% 18.4% 44.2%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.8%
1 - 2
6.3%
2 - 3
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa U21 0 0.9% 2.3% 3.0% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9%
1 1.9% 4.9% 6.3% 5.5% 3.6% 1.9%
2 2.0% 5.2% 6.8% 5.9% 3.8% 2.0%
3 1.4% 3.7% 4.8% 4.2% 2.7% 1.4%
4 0.8% 2.0% 2.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAston Villa U21Manchester City U21
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack65%100%
Defense47%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.220 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

82%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aston Villa U21 Manchester City U21
HATHAT
Played76138715
Wins29%50%38%88%29%60%
Draws14%33%23%13%0%7%
Loses57%17%38%0%71%33%

Form: Aston Villa U21: LWLWWDLLWDWDL • Manchester City U21: LWLDWLWLWWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Aston Villa U21 Manchester City U21
HATHAT
GF total141024331245
GF avg2.01.71.84.11.73.0
GA total1872551419
GA avg2.61.21.90.62.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAston Villa U21Manchester City U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%85%87%67%
1.554%62%73%40%
2.546%31%60%20%
3.58%15%27%0%
4.58%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAston Villa U21Manchester City U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets112505
Failed to score224022

Penalties

MetricAston Villa U21Manchester City U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAston Villa U21Manchester City U21
Wins22
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-38-11-6
Biggest losses0-31-0—3-1
Goals For5386
Goals Against4233

Model comparison

MetricAston Villa U21Manchester City U21
Form40%60%
Att35%65%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h20%80%
Goals38%62%
Total34.8%65.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Manchester City U21 and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.00 @ Betfair
Draw5.54 @ Pinnacle
Away1.52 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ William Hill
No2.88 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aston Villa U21 = 2.14 (league 1.87), Manchester City U21 = 2.61 (league 1.69)

Manchester City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa U21 0 0.9% 2.3% 3.0% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9%
1 1.9% 4.9% 6.3% 5.5% 3.6% 1.9%
2 2.0% 5.2% 6.8% 5.9% 3.8% 2.0%
3 1.4% 3.7% 4.8% 4.2% 2.7% 1.4%
4 0.8% 2.0% 2.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.3% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 44.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1