Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 19:00 •
Bodymoor Heath Training Ground
Expected Goals
2.15 (league 1.86)
2.64 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.1% | 18.3% | 44.3% |
best score tips
2 - 2
6.7%
1 - 2
6.2%
2 - 3
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Manchester City U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aston Villa U21 | 0 | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aston Villa U21 | Manchester City U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 80% |
| Attack | 48% | 87% |
| Defense | 61% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 20 | 4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
82%
FT probability
3.5+
58%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aston Villa U21 | Manchester City U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 29% | 50% | 38% | 88% | 29% | 60% |
| Draws | 14% | 33% | 23% | 13% | 0% | 7% |
| Loses | 57% | 17% | 38% | 0% | 71% | 33% |
Form: Aston Villa U21: LWLWWDLLWDWDL • Manchester City U21: LWLDWLWLWWLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Aston Villa U21 | Manchester City U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 10 | 24 | 33 | 12 | 45 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 3.0 |
| GA total | 18 | 7 | 25 | 5 | 14 | 19 |
| GA avg | 2.6 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aston Villa U21 | Manchester City U21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 85% | 87% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 62% | 73% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 46% | 31% | 60% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 15% | 27% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aston Villa U21 | Manchester City U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aston Villa U21 | Manchester City U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aston Villa U21 | Manchester City U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 8-1 | 1-6 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 1-0 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aston Villa U21 | Manchester City U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 34.7% | 65.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Manchester City U21 and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Aston Villa U21 = 2.15 (league 1.86), Manchester City U21 = 2.64 (league 1.67)
| Manchester City U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aston Villa U21 | 0 | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.1% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 44.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1