Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 19:00 •
Bet365 Stadium
Expected Goals
2.26 (league 1.86)
2.36 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.8% | 19.1% | 39.0% |
best score tips
2 - 2
7.0%
1 - 2
6.2%
2 - 1
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Burnley U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stoke City U21 | 0 | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Stoke City U21 | Burnley U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 13% |
| Attack | 29% | 29% |
| Defense | 0% | 41% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 17 | 3.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
90%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Stoke City U21 | Burnley U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 9 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| Draws | 17% | 33% | 27% | 25% | 13% | 19% |
| Loses | 50% | 33% | 40% | 75% | 63% | 69% |
Form: Stoke City U21: DDLWWWWDDWLLLLL • Burnley U21: LWLLLLWLLLDLLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Stoke City U21 | Burnley U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 14 | 23 | 5 | 14 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 13 | 17 | 30 | 15 | 22 | 37 |
| GA avg | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Stoke City U21 | Burnley U21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 93% | 75% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 60% | 25% | 69% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 20% | 13% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Stoke City U21 | Burnley U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Stoke City U21 | Burnley U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Stoke City U21 | Burnley U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | — | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-6 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 8-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Stoke City U21 | Burnley U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 37% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 37.8% | 62.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Burnley U21 and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Stoke City U21 = 2.26 (league 1.86), Burnley U21 = 2.36 (league 1.67)
| Burnley U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stoke City U21 | 0 | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.8% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 39.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1