Mon, Mar 16 2026 • 19:00 • Burnley FC Training Centre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.87) 1.90 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.1% 20.1% 69.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.0%
0 - 2
16.2%
0 - 3
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Brighton U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burnley U21 0 9.0% 17.0% 16.2% 10.2% 4.9% 1.8%
1 4.6% 8.7% 8.3% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9%
2 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurnley U21Brighton U21
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack40%50%
Defense50%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burnley U21 Brighton U21
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins0%33%18%50%22%35%
Draws25%11%18%13%44%29%
Loses75%56%65%38%33%35%

Form: Burnley U21: LWLLLLWLLLDLLDDLW • Brighton U21: WWLWDDLDWLDLLWWDL

League goals

Metric Burnley U21 Brighton U21
HATHAT
GF total51722161531
GF avg0.61.91.32.01.71.8
GA total152338111425
GA avg1.92.62.21.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurnley U21Brighton U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%100%76%82%
1.529%65%59%41%
2.518%29%35%18%
3.56%6%12%6%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurnley U21Brighton U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score314224

Penalties

MetricBurnley U21Brighton U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricBurnley U21Brighton U21
Wins12
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-44-00-4
Biggest losses0-38-10-23-1
Goals For1444
Goals Against3843

Model comparison

MetricBurnley U21Brighton U21
Form42%58%
Att44%56%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h80%20%
Goals100%0%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : Burnley U21 or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.72 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.25 @ Pinnacle
Away1.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.46 @ Pinnacle
No2.70 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burnley U21 = 0.51 (league 1.87), Brighton U21 = 1.90 (league 1.70)

Brighton U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burnley U21 0 9.0% 17.0% 16.2% 10.2% 4.9% 1.8%
1 4.6% 8.7% 8.3% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9%
2 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.1% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 69.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1