Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 19:00 • Heritage Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.03 (league 1.87) 1.60 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.1% 21.4% 30.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 1
8.6%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Stoke City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Middlesbrough U21 0 2.6% 4.2% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 5.4% 8.6% 6.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.7% 7.0% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.7% 5.9% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.9% 3.0% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMiddlesbrough U21Stoke City U21
Played55
Form47%0%
Attack37%26%
Defense58%5%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.618 | 3.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Middlesbrough U21 Stoke City U21
HATHAT
Played98177916
Wins33%25%29%29%33%31%
Draws22%50%35%14%33%25%
Loses44%25%35%57%33%44%

Form: Middlesbrough U21: LWDLDLLDWWDDDWLLW • Stoke City U21: DDLWWWWDDWLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Middlesbrough U21 Stoke City U21
HATHAT
GF total181129101424
GF avg2.01.41.71.41.61.5
GA total151126161733
GA avg1.71.41.52.31.92.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMiddlesbrough U21Stoke City U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%88%94%94%
1.535%35%50%63%
2.524%18%6%25%
3.512%12%0%13%
4.512%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMiddlesbrough U21Stoke City U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score303011

Penalties

MetricMiddlesbrough U21Stoke City U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMiddlesbrough U21Stoke City U21
Wins24
Draws32
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-33-11-2
Biggest losses1-44-21-63-0
Goals For6332
Goals Against4464

Model comparison

MetricMiddlesbrough U21Stoke City U21
Form100%0%
Att58%42%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h100%0%
Goals76%24%
Total65.0%35.0%

Advice: Double chance : Middlesbrough U21 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ 188Bet
Draw5.74 @ Pinnacle
Away6.42 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Pinnacle
No2.58 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.08 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Middlesbrough U21 = 2.03 (league 1.87), Stoke City U21 = 1.60 (league 1.70)

Stoke City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Middlesbrough U21 0 2.6% 4.2% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 5.4% 8.6% 6.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.7% 7.0% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.7% 5.9% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.9% 3.0% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.1% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 30.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1