Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 19:00 • The Arden Garages Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.87) 2.36 (league 1.69)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.6% 19.1% 56.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
1 - 1
7.8%
1 - 3
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham City U21 0 2.5% 5.8% 6.8% 5.4% 3.2% 1.5%
1 3.3% 7.8% 9.2% 7.2% 4.3% 2.0%
2 2.2% 5.3% 6.2% 4.9% 2.9% 1.4%
3 1.0% 2.4% 2.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBirmingham City U21Manchester City U21
Played55
Form27%100%
Attack53%100%
Defense13%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.618 | 3.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.60 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Birmingham City U21 Manchester City U21
HATHAT
Played710179817
Wins14%30%24%89%38%65%
Draws57%0%24%11%0%6%
Loses29%70%53%0%63%29%

Form: Birmingham City U21: DWDLLLWWLLDLLWDLL • Manchester City U21: LWLDWLWLWWLWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Birmingham City U21 Manchester City U21
HATHAT
GF total101424351651
GF avg1.41.41.43.92.03.0
GA total14294351419
GA avg2.02.92.50.61.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBirmingham City U21Manchester City U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%88%88%59%
1.547%65%76%35%
2.512%53%59%18%
3.56%29%29%0%
4.50%12%18%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBirmingham City U21Manchester City U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets022617
Failed to score044022

Penalties

MetricBirmingham City U21Manchester City U21
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricBirmingham City U21Manchester City U21
Wins22
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-48-11-6
Biggest losses1-45-0—3-1
Goals For2486
Goals Against4633

Model comparison

MetricBirmingham City U21Manchester City U21
Form21%79%
Att31%69%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total29.3%70.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Manchester City U21 and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home16.75 @ Marathonbet
Draw12.46 @ Pinnacle
Away1.17 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.12 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.17 @ Bet365
Under 2.55.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Birmingham City U21 = 1.35 (league 1.87), Manchester City U21 = 2.36 (league 1.69)

Manchester City U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham City U21 0 2.5% 5.8% 6.8% 5.4% 3.2% 1.5%
1 3.3% 7.8% 9.2% 7.2% 4.3% 2.0%
2 2.2% 5.3% 6.2% 4.9% 2.9% 1.4%
3 1.0% 2.4% 2.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.6% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 56.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1