Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 19:00 • The Leicester City Training Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.87) 2.61 (league 1.69)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.1% 18.4% 50.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.5%
2 - 2
6.7%
1 - 3
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Aston Villa U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leicester City U21 0 1.2% 3.2% 4.2% 3.6% 2.4% 1.2%
1 2.2% 5.7% 7.5% 6.5% 4.2% 2.2%
2 2.0% 5.1% 6.7% 5.8% 3.8% 2.0%
3 1.2% 3.1% 4.0% 3.5% 2.3% 1.2%
4 0.5% 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeicester City U21Aston Villa U21
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack73%73%
Defense40%7%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.814 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leicester City U21 Aston Villa U21
HATHAT
Played99189615
Wins44%44%44%33%50%40%
Draws22%22%22%11%33%20%
Loses33%33%33%56%17%40%

Form: Leicester City U21: WDWLDLWLWWWLLWDLDW • Aston Villa U21: LWLWWDLLWDWDLLW

League goals

Metric Leicester City U21 Aston Villa U21
HATHAT
GF total251843161026
GF avg2.82.02.41.81.71.7
GA total23143723730
GA avg2.61.62.12.61.22.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeicester City U21Aston Villa U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%83%67%87%
1.572%56%53%60%
2.544%33%40%33%
3.517%22%7%20%
4.511%6%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeicester City U21Aston Villa U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets033112
Failed to score022325

Penalties

MetricLeicester City U21Aston Villa U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLeicester City U21Aston Villa U21
Wins32
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-21-52-01-3
Biggest losses3-64-00-41-0
Goals For6553
Goals Against6442

Model comparison

MetricLeicester City U21Aston Villa U21
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h80%20%
Goals63%38%
Total57.8%42.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Leicester City U21 or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Betano
Draw4.47 @ Pinnacle
Away3.60 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.35 @ Pinnacle
No3.20 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leicester City U21 = 1.79 (league 1.87), Aston Villa U21 = 2.61 (league 1.69)

Aston Villa U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leicester City U21 0 1.2% 3.2% 4.2% 3.6% 2.4% 1.2%
1 2.2% 5.7% 7.5% 6.5% 4.2% 2.2%
2 2.0% 5.1% 6.7% 5.8% 3.8% 2.0%
3 1.2% 3.1% 4.0% 3.5% 2.3% 1.2%
4 0.5% 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.1% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 50.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1