Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 18:45 • ASM Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.65) 0.92 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.5% 29.3% 28.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Dunstable
0 1 2 3 4 5
Thame United 0 11.9% 10.9% 5.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.2% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.7% 8.0% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 3.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricThame UnitedAFC Dunstable
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack42%42%
Defense0%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Thame United AFC Dunstable
HATHAT
Played235437
Wins50%0%20%25%0%14%
Draws0%0%0%50%33%43%
Loses50%100%80%25%67%43%

Form: Thame United: LLLLW • AFC Dunstable: DDDLLWL

League goals

Metric Thame United AFC Dunstable
HATHAT
GF total235527
GF avg1.01.01.01.30.71.0
GA total48125611
GA avg2.02.72.41.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineThame UnitedAFC Dunstable
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%71%71%
1.520%80%29%43%
2.50%40%0%14%
3.50%40%0%14%
4.50%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricThame UnitedAFC Dunstable
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score011022

Penalties

MetricThame UnitedAFC Dunstable
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricThame UnitedAFC Dunstable
Wins01
Draws03
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—1-0—
Biggest losses1-44-21-25-2
Goals For1222
Goals Against4425

Model comparison

MetricThame UnitedAFC Dunstable
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h38%62%
Goals47%53%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : Thame United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Thame United = 1.21 (league 1.65), AFC Dunstable = 0.92 (league 1.52)

AFC Dunstable
0 1 2 3 4 5
Thame United 0 11.9% 10.9% 5.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.2% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.7% 8.0% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 3.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.5% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 28.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1