Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 18:45 •
The Meadow
Expected Goals
0.44 (league 1.59)
1.76 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.6% | 21.5% | 68.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.6%
0 - 2
17.2%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Leighton Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aylesbury United | 0 | 11.1% | 19.6% | 17.2% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aylesbury United | Leighton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 73% |
| Attack | 60% | 73% |
| Defense | 47% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aylesbury United | Leighton Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 67% | 33% | 100% | 33% | 60% |
| Draws | 67% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 67% | 40% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Aylesbury United: DLWLDW • Leighton Town: WWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Aylesbury United | Leighton Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aylesbury United | Leighton Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 67% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 60% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 17% | 40% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aylesbury United | Leighton Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aylesbury United | Leighton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aylesbury United | Leighton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-4 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aylesbury United | Leighton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 39% | 61% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 20% | 80% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 21% | 79% |
| Total | 31.6% | 68.4% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Leighton Town
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Aylesbury United = 0.44 (league 1.59), Leighton Town = 1.76 (league 1.48)
| Leighton Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aylesbury United | 0 | 11.1% | 19.6% | 17.2% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.6% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 68.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1